Toyota/Save Mart 350 Odds and Predictions by Christopher G. Five-time winner Jeff Gordon hopes to jump-start his season in California as NASCAR hits the road of Infineon. Gambling On Nascar – Toyota/Save Mart 350 – Odds to Win 6/22/2008, 2008 5:20 PM Lines /Odds Feeds Take up to 5 Seconds To Load Click any of your favorite Nascar Racers to lay a bet on their odds and lines for the Life Lock400.
Toyota/Save Mart 350 Odds and Predictions
by Christopher G. Shepard - 06/20/2008
Five-time winner Jeff Gordon hopes to jump-start his season in California as NASCAR hits the road of Infineon Raceway in Sonoma County on Sunday at 5 p.m. for the Toyota/Save Mart 350.
Get ready for a lot of breaking on the grueling 12-turn Sonoma track where any minor mistake can send drivers flying across the scrub brush. With little quality passing opportunities drivers will have to adopt a wait-and-see attitude and let the other drivers make the mistakes and then take advantage of the slim opportunities when they arise. There are a few courses on the NASCAR circuit where starting grid position is very important and this is one of them, so watch the qualifiers to see how the cars are running. Keep in mind there'll be a lot of sore necks this weekend as drivers will have to turn right for the first time this season.
In case you missed the results of the LifeLock 400 Dale Earnhardt, Jr. won (some say due to a questionable fuel strategy) for the first time in more than two years. To conserve fuel during caution at the end of the race Junior cruised ahead of the pace car and then killed his engine allowing it to drift behind the pace car and conserve fuel. Be that as it may he won the race and ended his 76-race drought. Hendrick Motorsports, strange as it may seem, hasn't won a race since April when Jimmie Johnson won on the short track at the Subway 500 in Phoenix.
Who will win the Toyota/Save Mart 350?
This week a lot of attention will be on another HMS driver. Gordon has dominated the road course in recent history and has won every other year since 2004 so if everything goes according to plan 2008 could spell what ails him. Remember, last year at this time Gordon had already won four races and led in points. Incidentally, he also holds the track record for fastest qualifying record at 94.325 mph in 2005. Gordon has also won the pole four times at Infineon.
Gamblers thinking about backing the No. 24 car should know that Gordon is the best active road course driver and averages a win every three times he gets behind the wheel of a road race. Gordon also won at Sonoma three years in a row from 1998-2001. Furthermore, Gordon has won fifty percent of the last 10 races at Sonoma, which makes him very hard to bet against.
Another road warrior is Tony Stewart who has two wins at Sonoma and used the 2005 win to launch his championship season. But I'm not going to let my investment go up in smoke as Stewart has had really bad luck all year. No matter how good Tony is on the road I wouldn't be surprised to see him lead the race and hit a bottle of wine in the middle of the track and get a flat tire. I wouldn't invest Mark Cuban's money in Smoke.
In professional (and amateur I am sure) marquee team sports there is an expression known as a 'must-win game.' Whether it is at Cameron Indoor, Giants Stadium or Wrigley Field, there are some games you just don't lose. For Jeff Gordon Sunday is a season-defining moment. Stuck 337 points behind Kyle Busch (now that should be the name of a country song) Gordon has not seen the other side of ninth place in the standings in a long time. Winless after almost half the season completed on the Spring Cup this is a must-win race for Gordon.
Pick! Jeff Gordon, No. 24, 9/2
Toyota/Save Mart 350 Solid Gold Picks
Sportsbook.com has listed many matchups on the Toyota/Save Mart 350 this weekend. Last week, we continued to ride the hot streak that is Kasey Kahne as a +1.35 'dog to frequent flyer Kyle Busch. And the trend paid off as Kahne finished second at the LifeLock 400. This week Busch said since he was so far off in the points he was going to stop racing in the Craftsman Truck series. Think there was a big sigh of relief in the truck bays? This brings my record Over-the-Wall to 10-10 with -1.20 units on the season after 15 of 36 Sprint Cup races have been completed.
Long Odds Value Pick
The driver of the No. 12 car, Ryan Newman, is one of the hot free agents on the market looking to land with a new deal. The Daytona 500 winner is a keeper and so Penske Racing is going to do their best to help Newman win and keep him in the stable. Helped out by four top-10 finishes, Newman sports a better-than-respectable average finish of 9.8 at Sonoma. Newman came in second at Sonoma in 2006. He has the chops to run a mistake-free race and perhaps win if Penske Racing gives him a great car on Sunday.
Pick! Ryan Newman, No. 12, (28/1)
Square Tire Pick
Just as I rode a hot NASCAR matchup trend the trend decides he doesn't want to race three races a weekend on three different surfaces (that aren't in the same venue)! Now Kyle Busch has to fall back on Plan B or whatever it is that keeps him winning Sprint Cup races. As of deadline matchups for the Save Mart 350 had not been listed but I'll offer this bit of advice for those looking for an edge. Eschew the Sprint Cup point's leaders for those with quality road experience. You spend a season turning left and then have to turn right it is different. Last year JPM managed to win at Sonoma the first time he raced the track. No surprise since JPM cut his teeth road-racing in F1. I'm taking JPM in any matchup other than against Jeff Gordon.
Pick! Juan Pablo Montoya, No. 42
*Toyota/Save Mart 350 Odds
Infineon Raceway, Sonoma
Sun, June 22nd (5:00pm EST)
A.J. Allmendinger 35/1
Aric Almirola 70/1
Bobby Labonte 100/1
Boris Said 18/1
Brandon Ash 150/1
Brian Simo 100/1
Brian Vickers 100/1
Carl Edwards 40/1
Casey Mears 60/1
Clint Bowyer 40/1
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 25/1
Dario Franchitti 30/1
Dave Blaney 100/1
David Gilliland 100/1
David Ragan 100/1
David Reutimann 100/1
Denny Hamlin 20/1
Elliott Sadler 40/1
Greg Biffle 40/1
J.J. Yeley 150/1
Jamie McMurray 18/1
Jeff Burton 40/1
Jeff Gordon 9/2
Jimmie Johnson 28/1
Joe Nemechek 150/1
Juan Pablo Montoya 6/1
Kasey Kahne 65/1
Kevin Harvick 10/1
Kurt Busch 20/1
Kyle Busch 14/1
Marcos Ambrose 30/1
Martin Truex Jr. 40/1
Matt Kenseth 50/1
Max Papis 80/1
Michael McDowell 35/1
Michael Waltrip 100/1
Patrick Carpentier 25/1
Paul Menard 100/1
Reed Sorenson 125/1
Robby Gordon 10/1
Ron Fellows 18/1
Ryan Newman 28/1
Sam Hornish Jr. 80/1
Scott Riggs 100/1
Terry Labonte 100/1
Tony Stewart 9/2
Travis Kvapil 125/1
*Odds courtesy of Bodog
Race: Toyota/SaveMart 350
Date: Sunday June 25, 2017
Track: Sonoma Raceway
Time: 3 pm ET
TV: FS1
by Virginia Vroom, NASCAR Handicapper, Predictem.com
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As predicted (again!), Kyle Larson took the checkers to win at Michigan on Sunday! This is Larsons second win this season, proving his worth as he learned from his restart slump at Dover. He really stepped up his restart game and absolutely nailed them in the closing laps after passing Kyle Busch. If you can beat Busch off a restart, youre doing it right! Busch is the king of blocking and really overcoming the odds on a restart. And, as we all know, Busch is certainly out for a win after some pretty epic interview fails and second place finishes. That being said, Larson clearly outdrove the field to take the third win of his career.
Ryan Blaney, of all people, stepped up and pushed Larson to the front. The crazy part is that the bottom lane really caused a lot of other drivers to struggle. Typically, Larson also likes riding the walls and the high side, but he managed to make the bottom groove work for him against all odds. The multiple grooves at Michigan really make this a great track. There are a lot of different options for drivers to setup their cars for a successful race. Even still with all those choices, many drivers had trouble sticking to the groove that they wanted. The top five ended a little differently than most probably thought. The late race restarts really hurt some of these guys. It eliminated Kyle Buschs chance at the win, as he faded back to 7th after getting passed by Larson. Chase Elliott, Joey Logano, Denny Hamlin, and Jamie McMurray rounded out the top five spots. It was definitely a weird end to the race, leaving many fans and drivers alike pondering the validity of these debris cautions that NASCAR seems to strategically like to throw.
This weekend, NASCAR may not need to throw any cautions as the drivers head to one of the two road courses on the schedule. They are headed to Sonoma for a wild weekend of racing. Between both fans and drivers, theres either a love or hate for road courses. There is no in between. To me, road courses show the true wheeling skill of the drivers. To many others, road courses are not what stock car racing is about. I dont really care, though. I think that theres a lot to be said for a driver who can master a road course along with the regular ovals we see all season long. Theres a lot of skill from both the crew and driver required here. The drivers have to understand the intricacies of the road course and how to protect their equipment while maneuvering through pretty uncharted territory for a lot of them. That being said, the configuration for the NASCAR course here is pretty cool. Its a 1.99 mile asphalt track with 10 turns. Yep. Thats right. The drivers have to turn left and right here. Pretty gnarly, I know. The most exciting part of the track comes towards the end of the run with the esses in turns 8 and 9 leading to the hairpin turn at 10, causing a lot of issues for some of the drivers.
When it comes to picking a winner here, you have to pick the guys who have the experience, strategy abilities, and pit road choice. This means track position doesnt mean a whole lot. Theres a ton of fuel strategy play that goes on here as well as the potential for short pitting. This creates an element of strategy for the drivers to run their own race instead of banking on what the other teams are doing. The great thing about road courses is that we often see tons of different pit strategies going on. Another element of necessity at a road course is confidence and just a hint of aggressiveness. When you put those two together, youve got to pick none other than Kyle Busch for the win this weekend. Hes still looking for his first win of the season and has come oh so close but hasnt cashed in. With his ability to block better than most anyone else on the track along with his two wins here, look for Busch to get that checkered flag. He will undoubtedly have some major competition, but he is going to be the one to beat for sure.
My Pick to Win: Kyle Busch
Middle of the Road Pick: Clint Bowyer
Dark Horse Prediction: AJ Allmendinger
The ‘dinger is awesome on a road course. Hes got the skill to be that one guy who can throw the whole field off. Look for him to really get his nose out front this weekend. Clint Bowyer is also another solid pick. Although his last win here was in 2012, hes driving the #14 that went to victory lane here last year. Thats something to count on. His record is pretty impressive as well, with a total of 8 top 10s in the last 10 races at Sonoma. Road courses are always a great challenge for the drivers. They tend to throw a wrench in the points somewhere along the way as well. Lets see how everyone is stacking up in the points after Michigan:
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Here are your current top 16 after last week’s race:
1. Kyle Larson
2. Martin Truex Jr.
3. Kyle Busch
4. Kevin Harvick
5. Chase Elliott
6. Brad Keselowski
7. Jamie McMurray
8. Jimmie Johnson
9. Denny Hamlin
10. Joey Logano
11. Matt Kenseth
12. Clint Bowyer
13. Ryan Blaney
14. Kurt Busch
15. Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
16. Erik Jones
Erik Jones is back in the top 16 after a few rocky finishes. Its still so great to see these young drivers actively competing with the veterans and really proving their skills on the track. Those skills are going to be put to the ultimate test this weekend on the first road course of the season. Kyle Busch should hold his own, but hes bound to have some stiff competition from teammate Denny Hamlin, the Penske drivers, and a few other kids out there who have no fear. Stay tuned for an awesome weekend of road course racing at Sonoma Raceway!